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"And the stars are projectors, yeah, projecting our lives down to this planet Earth." - Modest Mouse


3.30.2004

The Music Just Sucks 

In what should amount to barely any surprise whatsoever, Felix Oberholzer-Gee, an associate professor at Harvard Business School and his colleague, University of North Carolina's Koleman Strumpf, have presented a statistical model showing that there is no relationship between illegal downloading of mp3's and poor cd sales. In fact, their model seems to indicate the opposite.
Songs that were heavily downloaded showed no measurable drop in sales, the researchers found after tracking sales of 680 albums over the course of 17 weeks in the second half of 2002. Matching that data with activity on the OpenNap file-sharing network, they concluded that file sharing actually increases CD sales for hot albums that sell more than 600,000 copies. For every 150 downloads of a song from those albums, sales increase by a copy, the researchers found...

Oberholzer-Gee and his colleague, University of North Carolina's Koleman Strumpf, also said that their "most pessimistic" statistical model showed that illegal file sharing would have accounted for only 2 million fewer compact discs sales in 2002, whereas CD sales declined by 139 million units between 2000 and 2002.

"From a statistical point of view, what this means is that there is no effect between downloading and sales," said Oberholzer-Gee.
In related news, researchers have concluded that no statistical analysis whatsoever is necessary to prove that the music industry is run by a bunch of greedy assholes.

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